There are stories everywhere about subtropical storm Ana. Each of these stories mentions that this is an early storm, that this is the seventh consecutive year that a named storm occurred prior to the start of the storm season, and that there have been more storms than “normal.”
and it is misleading.
Why it’s misleading is that “subtropical” storms were not included in named storms until 2002. What does this mean? In the 19 hurricane seasons that subtropical storms have been added to the naming system, there have been an average of 16 named storms per year, with only 4 of those seasons seeing fewer than 12 storms. In the 19 seasons prior to 2002, there were an average of 11 named storms per year, with ten of those seasons having fewer than 12 storms.
So why did the criteria for naming storms change? If you look at the statistics for named storms, something jumps out at you. The number of storms drastically increases, beginning in 1995. What changed in 1995? Was it global warming?
Nope. The director of the National Hurricane Center, Doctor Bob Sheets, retired in 1995. The director of the NHC sets the criteria by which storms are classified. Politics, or science?
You decide.
6 Comments
Beans · May 23, 2021 at 2:27 am
Yup.
Kinda like… blizzards.
Used to be, there’d be blizzards during winter and people just lived. If it was a bad blizzard, it would get named by the year (The Great Blizzard of 19something-something) or by the month and year if there were more than one bad blizzard that year (The Great Blizzard of January 19XX and the Great Blizzard of February 19XX) or by the season (The Great Spring Blizzard of 19XY.)
Now? Either it’s some (Something)pocalypse or (Something)maggedon or a friggin name for some stupid blizzard that’s nowhere near as bad as The Great Blizzard of 1888 (an actual real ‘great blizzard, March 11-14, 1888 that really screwed up planting up north, y’all.) Or some otherwise stupid thingamabob.
I remember experiencing non-seasonal storms that sure looked like tropical storms but because they were out of the season they didn’t get called squat other than ‘the bad storm of April 19something something.)
And the whole ‘Hurricane Season’ that starts from X Date and lasts till Y Date? That’s just purely set at roughly statistical analysis of when hurricanes (and tropical storms) are most likely to form. That’s all. Has no real meaning other than to say, “Blah, blah, blah, hurricane season starts on June 1st, but unofficially it starts on May 15th so that we can give you the unofficial start on May 20th because…”
No. Just no. Hurricane season, for those who have brains, starts either in late spring or when the first Tropical Storm or Hurricane is spotted.
And it has nothing to do with manmade climate change.
Still love to blow people’s minds that the reason the ‘Vikings’ were so scourging in the 9th-11th Centuries was because the world was warmer and there was more food available so there were more ‘Vikers’ (what one pseudo-historian called them, rather than Scandinavians, because the pseudo-historian was/is/will be an idiot (and a teacher, bless his little heart.)) to go a-viking. Duh.
Trailers For Sale Or Rent · May 23, 2021 at 2:30 am
Climate change is real… and Leave Brittney Alone !
Don Curton · May 23, 2021 at 7:33 am
This is what I’ve said for years. They change the criteria and then call it a disaster. I’ve lived in Texas for almost 60 years. Up until the late 90’s, we never panicked over a hurricane. Boarded up windows, yeah, sure. But evacuate? Only if you lived directly on the coast or in a known flood area. Otherwise we just rode it out.
Now they want to evac half the state every time there’s a storm in the Gulf. And now every storm seems to be the strongest ever. Oh shit, it’s a cat 5 storm!! Yeah, way out in the gulf, but everyone knows that it loses at least 1 category if not 2 prior to landfall when it gets in the shallow waters closer to land.
Hell, I remember playing as a kid in the flooded streets while there was still 40 and 50 mph wind gusts. I guess we weren’t pussies back then.
SiG · May 23, 2021 at 10:32 am
I remember playing street football in the tropical storm winds from a hurricane while growing up in Miami. Going west in the street with the wind at your back you could fling a football the length of the “field”. Into the wind it was nothing but running game.
It was just a storm.
Beans · May 23, 2021 at 11:47 pm
Ayup. And maybe if the idjits in charge of the local water district would dump water before the storm hits, like in Houston twice now, or make sure the money for levee improvements actually goes into, yaknow, the levees rather than local politicians’ pockets, like New Orleans every year, there’d be less damage.
And, really, maybe if more places were like Florida, where when we get hit hard by a storm our building standards get notched up. Geez, if everyone in reasonable reach of a hurricane, including those idiots in New York and other yankee states, had our building and electric grid standards, mayhaps they wouldn’t be freaking out about a simple storm like they do every year.
Now, the perfect proof that ‘Climate Change’ doesn’t exist. The Obamas have 2 beachfront homes. There you go. Poof, the end of all climate change.
Well, that and the Dutch aren’t having to add feet onto all their levees and dykes every year…
joe · May 23, 2021 at 7:34 am
it’s headed further out to sea…who gives 2 fucks about ana…
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