All of the talk shows today were talking about two things: Donald Trump’s impending arrest, and last night’s Republican Presidential Debates. Even Larry Correia is going on and on about how Trump can’t win, and we need to support one of the guys from the debate last night. He seems to think that the left wants Trump to be the nominee because they know that Biden will beat him because everyone hates Trump. Here is Trump’s mugshot:

All things being equal, I don’t think Trump is a great choice. Mostly because we know the swamp will fight him every step of the way, and let’s face it, he is old. Still, he is polling with such a large lead that all of the Republican candidates combined couldn’t beat him. With that being said, I am not really liking any of the other candidates, either.

  • Christie is a RINO gun grabber authoritarian that will actually be worse than Biden.
  • DeSantis is a great governor here in Florida, but he is too polished, and too much a favorite of the establishment Republicans, and of the MSM. I don’t trust what he is selling.
  • Vivek is too young and naïve. He isn’t ready.
  • Pence will never get the MAGA vote. They will stay home before electing him. There is no path forward for a candidate that doesn’t have the MAGA vote. They are half of the Republican base, for crying out loud.
  • The rest of the field either has no shot or is even worse.

When it comes election time, Trump is still the best choice. I don’t think that it matters.

The talking heads were asking callers if it came to a choice between Biden and Republican X, what would you do in the election. Most of them said that if Trump were not the candidate, they would stay home. That’s important, and I will explain.

The cheat, the fix, is in.

Trump wins the Republican nomination. It is obvious that he will do so in a landslide. At least one of his trials will happen at some point between now and June 4, the date of the last Republican primary. The Democrats are likely to get at least one conviction on the 91 charges that Trump is facing. Sorry, but Federal prosecutors have better than a 90% conviction rate. They only need one conviction on one charge for this to work. That one conviction will be enough of a fig leaf for at least some Democrat Secretaries of State to deny Trump from appearing on the ballot, claiming that the conviction bars him from running under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. If even six states, currently with a Democrat as Secretary of state don’t put him on the ballot, the Democrat runs unopposed:

  • Arizona (11 electoral votes)
  • Illinois (20 electoral votes)
  • Michigan (16 electoral votes)
  • Minnesota (10 electoral votes)
  • Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes)
  • Wisconsin (10 electoral votes)

Do the math. Losing those six swing states would deny Trump 87 electoral votes and make it virtually impossible for him to get the 270 votes needed to win the election. They don’t need to stuff a single ballot box. That doesn’t require them to pull any other shenanigans. They don’t need Oprah, Big Mike, or even Newsome. All they need is a single conviction.

There is enough hatred of Trump among the establishment Republicans that I don’t think the party will put up more than token resistance. You know, like they are now. Some strongly worded letters, fiery speeches, that sort of thing. Even if they do scream- what can they do? We have already seen what good lawsuits and lawyers do.

So as far as worrying about the debates and all of that?

I don’t think it matters. There will not be another Republican in the White House, and the Republicans in charge of the party don’t care, as long as they get to keep their cushy positions.


TheLastOfTheAmericans · August 25, 2023 at 5:24 am

This post should be flagged as “Doomer.” I get the sentiment, I really do, but the states removing him from their ballot…how does that get past a SCOTUS challenge? I don’t know how 99% of the crap they charged him with gets past a real SCOTUS challenge, but I do worry about the 1% that does. I can’t believe his own nominees – the same ones who shat out Roe v. Wade and affirmative action – are going to corrupt the Constitution that badly, especially in the GA case where some minor jurisdiction – Fulton County – is indicting Federal employees – and an elected one who just happened to be The President at that. They would be setting off a chain of dominos that probably ends in Civil War 2.0 – in my lifetime.

    Divemedic · August 25, 2023 at 5:43 am

    That’s true. You are 100% right. SCOTUS is going to fix everything. That’s why the lawsuits about all of the election fraud in 2020 were so successful.
    The Wisconsin Supreme Court didn’t dismiss Trump’s election suit because it was “too late” (called laches). Trump never petitioned to the U.S. Supreme Court for writ of certiorari on Dec. 29, 2020 with a motion for expedited consideration, but the court never denied his motion on January 11.
    The Wisconsin Supreme Court never said that interpreting election administration rules do not fall under the meaning of “Manner” in the Electors Clause. Nope.
    Then the Michigan Supreme court never said that deviating from state election law is not the same as modifying state election law.
    Nope. In each and every case, the courts didn’t find a single problem with the 2020 election. Ignored all of the videos of illegal vote tampering. But you keep believing that the courts are going to save you.

    Big Ruckus D · August 25, 2023 at 12:06 pm

    To quote pedo joey “come on, man!” The supreme court? Thanks for the laugh. They would probably decline to hear the case for lack of standing or some such bullshit. Or simply delay doing so until after it no longer mattered. Those 9 black robed bastards are scared shitless of touching the Pandora’s box that is election integrity. Experience hath shewn already they won’t do it, where have you been the last 4+ years? And civil war 2 in your lifetime? I have bad news: unless your death is imminent, I’d say you have pretty good odds of seeing it first hand. Buckle up.

Anon Mike · August 25, 2023 at 6:33 am

You make a very valid point.. and it scares me a lot. The next question though is what will Trump do? As noted, his campaign will make the obvious move to go to the courts. Also as noted, these will go no where just as we saw court case after case fall through in 2020, leading to the Pence fecklessness and the setup on Jan 6th.

If he has an effective staff, he can organize write in campaigns in those states where he is kept off the ballots. Even if those succeed, if a secretary of state can keep him off the ballot, then if 2020 showed us anything, they will not hesitate to make those ballots uncountable either legally or illegally.

It is a grim scenario. Judging from what has happened in the last couple of years, enduring until the next election will not work. 80% of the population will like to think “ah – more crap” and keep doing their jobs or whatever. Until the power goes out, basic food becomes unaffordable, or retirees or the ever increasing load of young people on public assistance no longer get their social security checks or SNAP. Its not really a mystery what will happen. There are numerous countries we have seen fall in the face of a corrupt leadership.

I have to admit, my headspace is still in the same place as those 80%. Intellectually I see what is happening, but emotionally I have a hard time doing anything about it. Top that with the chilling way the government goes after anyone who pokes their head above crowd, and you feel there really isn’t much you should say on the subject. I am slowly moving my mind into a “prepare for the worst” framework, but for someone who has served for and loved his country, its hard on so many levels. I suspect i’m not alone.

    Rick · August 26, 2023 at 7:46 pm

    Anon Mike, it seems to me that you have yet to decide if we’re at war and if you’re on the field.

    I suppose that anything but a firm ‘no’ to those questions is at the least de facto admission. At this moment in time, it is to the individual to decide. Yet throughout history, there has always been the luxury of forestalling the decision until absolute, unequivocal acceptance of the building evidence.

scarecrow · August 25, 2023 at 7:03 am

I pray that We The People remember the Solidarnosc (Solidarity) movement in Poland during the ’80’s. At great cost and even greater risk, those who kept the country running shut it down; and this while it was still a part of the Soviet Union. Fuck what the union bosses whine about. Fuck what the employers do. We need to be willing to lose a few paychecks, miss a few payments on ‘stuff” and have to scrape to get by for a while but i truly believe that an overwhelming general strike (Trucks, Rail, Factories, Shipyards, etc.) is the only pre-violent off-ramp we have left to begin to turn this nation around. Please, pray about that and if y’all agree, talk it up in meatspace too.

Elrod · August 25, 2023 at 9:27 am

“… I don’t think Trump is a great choice. Mostly because we know the swamp will fight him every step of the way, …” And you don’t think the swamp will fight a different Repubilcan?

Actually, probably not, they’ll just chew him up and spit him out. Trump, at least will fight back.

There is not now, nor has there ever been a “best” candidate; a “better” candidate? Maybe. Who? Unless someone parachutes in, none of the bunch on the stage Wednesday stands out prominently as “better.” Which also draws focus away from the other things direly in need of attention, like control of the House and Senate, state governorships and legislatures.

There’s no question the four years after the next election will be a shit show, the only question is “in which direction will the shit be flowing?” We know what direction it’s flowing now.

    Divemedic · August 25, 2023 at 11:10 am

    Let’s not be blind. Other than SCOTUS picks, the only Trump accomplishment that is still in force was to ban bump stocks.

Skyler the Weird · August 25, 2023 at 3:12 pm

SCOTUS only overturned Roe v Wade to stop the Red Wave in 2022. They got the Karens and the Purple haired would have sat it out to the polls to protect their ‘rights’.

Here it Comes – Area Ocho · August 28, 2023 at 5:18 am

[…] is exploring the idea that Trump can be kept off of the ballot due to the 14th Amendment. Remember when I said that was coming? The only thing I got wrong was in assuming that it would be the Democrats that did it. Holy shit, […]

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