In this editorial piece disguised as news and statistics, Yahoo tells us that there are only about only 16.7% of Americans actually own firearms.

the top twenty percent of all gun owners actually owned 55% of the guns. In terms of absolute figures, ten million people owned 105 million guns – for an average of ten guns per person, and the remaining 87 million guns were owned by 34 million people – for an average of 2.6 guns per person. The population of the U.S. was 263 million in 1994 – indicating that only 16.7% of Americans had actually owned a weapon.

So their claim is that 44 million people own all of the guns. That is complete and total bullshit, and I can prove it. Let’s use concealed weapons permits as an estimate of the number of gun owners. Florida alone has approximately 2.6 million active concealed weapons permits. With 12% of all Florida residents having a concealed weapons permit, this would mean that three in four gun owners have a CWP. That would be a very high percentage, indeed.

How many people in Florida have weapons but no CWP? That is impossible to know, but what we do know is that the Florida Department of Law Enforcement conducts 1.5 million instant background checks for firearm purchases per year. The anti-gunners are claiming that all of these firearms are being sold to the same people over and over.

I just don’t see it. It is far more likely that, when called by some random “survey taker” that the person answering the phone either says, “Guns? We don’t have any guns here,” when asked, or they simply refuse to take the survey. I just don’t think that surveys are a reliable means of “research” on any topic like firearms. I might as well take a survey of high school boys, asking them about their number of sexual partners. I’m equally as likely to get an accurate count in either case.

These estimates of gun ownership rates are simple guessing. In fact, the Rand corporation estimates that as many as 28 percent of Floridians are firearm owners, and Florida is outpaced in ownership rates by at least 9 other states. According to that study, rates range from 3.4% in Massachusetts to more than 33% in Mississippi. Even with this method, these “studies” are little more than guesswork.

Just in the 20 years between 1999 and 2019, over 42 million rifles were manufactured (pdf alert). Between 20% and 50% of all rifles manufactured in the USA are AR-15 pattern rifles, including all of the variants like the AR-10, and all of the miscellaneous caliber variations.

What we DO know is that there have been 460 million background checks run through the NICS system since it went online in December of 1998 (pdf alert). Just in the year 2020, there were 39.6 million NICS checks done. Now granted that NICS isn’t a complete count of gun ownership because it fails to capture sales done between private parties, guns stolen from dealers and common carriers, and multiple firearms sold in one transaction. Some sales will likewise be overcounted because checks are occasionally done through NICS for CWP permits that don’t result in a transfer, but NICS is the closest thing that we have to counting the number of firearms transfers in the US. Are we to believe that the number of firearms sold in the US from 1900 to 1998 is only 35 million, when Americans are busy buying more than 30 million firearms a year? Those guns sold in the 1980s aren’t going away. Guns last a long time. I myself own firearms that are over 100 years old.

No, they say. It’s because a few people are busy buying dozens of gun and tens of thousands of rounds of ammunition every year, they claim. The left would have you believe that there are just 34 million people buying those ~40 million guns in a year- more than one per person on average, year after year, while 6 out of 7 Americans aren’t buying any guns at all. Sorry, but that is complete bullshit. I wrote about this in June of 2016, and I guessed at the time that there were somewhere between 400 and 500 million firearms in the US. Since that time, there have been another 219 million NICS checks.

Looking at ammunition sales, American citizens (all civilian sales, including the cops) are buying around 10 to 12 billion rounds of ammunition- about $11 billion dollars worth- in a year. In fact, the American civilian market buys a third of all ammunition manufactured worldwide to all consumers- including the world’s militaries. To put that in perspective, that is more ammunition than was used by the entire US military during each year of World War 2, when the average was just over 10 billion rounds a year and the US armed forces had more than 15 million personnel.

My guess (and mine is just as valid as theirs) is that there are somewhere between 700 and 800 million firearms in the US, and I would also guess that the southeast US is seeing household gun ownership rates that are somewhere near 70%. What all of this means is that, outside of the major antigun metroplexes of NYC, Boston, Baltimore, San Francisco, and LA, more than half of households have at least one firearm, and more than a quarter of those households own at least one “assault weapon.” I would be willing to bet that my guess is closer to reality than the 17% figure that they are waving about. I’m not alone in that opinion. Even in 2016, there were bloggers guessing that there were more than 600 million guns in circulation.

Now I know what you are thinking- you had a lot of guns before the boating accident, and don’t think that millions of “super owners” is out of the question. Keep in mind that those of you reading this are most likely in the “gun culture” and are among the upper 1 or 2 percent of gun owners. I know people who own 100 or more firearms. Still, the most common gun owner has his dad’s hunting rifle in the closet, or a single handgun in his nightstand drawer and hasn’t been to the range in years, if ever. Even in the south, only about a quarter of gun owners regularly visit the range.

If even one percent of the gun owning public decides to respond in kind to being called an enemy of the people, there will be somewhere around 1.8 million people who are armed, pissed off, and know how to shoot. Many of them spend their weekends hitting small targets at thousands of yards, because they think it’s fun. They will not be lined up in neat ranks out in a field somewhere, just waiting for you to nuke or drone strike them.

The US police cannot even begin to control the gang problem in our inner cities, and the membership of those gangs is only around 800,000 or so and the gang members aren’t actively hunting cops, no matter what the cops try to claim. This is a fight that cannot be won, but they don’t care because liberals are not the ones who will be getting killed. Or so they think. That is dangerous thinking indeed. The people of each side who are the least stable will be the ones who decide when the violence begins and how far it goes.

Categories: AntigunFake NewsGuns


June J · July 8, 2023 at 2:23 pm

And that 1% number will probably grow as the government uses more aggressive tactics to remove guns from otherwise law abiding citizens.
There also will be people who have never owned a gun who get pushed over the edge to take up arms after their family members or friends are jailed or killed by the security state.
The “unstable” on the left have already started shooting, going after Republican lawmakers, schools, churches , shopping centers, etc.

Elrod · July 8, 2023 at 3:48 pm

Yahoo can put out whatever statistical fantasies they wish, including that of only 16.7% of Americans are gun owners; those of us who know beter don’t pay any attention to them. The problem with such pontification, though, is that lots of someones may choose to believe them and as a result, implement policies and take actions based on such fantasies.

Normally that wouldn’t be a matter of much concern in day-to-day stuff, but there’s a fairly good chance that it could easily result in a very brief up close and personal experience with the other 83.3% of the “fantasy” inventory (assuming one considers 300-400 meters “up close and personal”).

exile1981 · July 8, 2023 at 3:57 pm

Canada has licenses to buy firearms and ammo… except natives can buy them with a treaty card. Approx 13.7% of canadians have a license. So the actual number would be higher if you include natives.

Can not see US rate being lower.

Mike · July 8, 2023 at 4:01 pm

Interesting read. Grown up with guns, hunting, taught fire safety and shooting skills to youth. Came East, set that all aside. Different culture, different world.
Inner city dwellers are /were unarmed by neighborhood and culture. Now, the 3 gun rule seems to be more prevalent. Range time was becoming more desired, with training and skill set classes packed.
Wuhan hit- most ranges closed. Our local gun and ammo suppliers could not keep up with demand. Still can’t, pretty much.
I’d be inclined to believe your numbers are much more accurate based on my little world. I know of quite a few folks who lost a few rifles in boating accidents, robberies, etc. only one “mega” collector (now deceased) who had a “John Wick” collection (serviceable and antique).
My brain Rolodex says at least 150 households at your 2-3 gun level, out of maybe 175 households of friends, family, co-workers, and neighbors.
However most of these (but not all) lean right or center right on the spectrum.

Sardaukar · July 8, 2023 at 6:18 pm

I live in Montana. Population of 1,100,000+. Honestly, maybe 16.7% DON’T own a firearm in my state. I think it’s even less than that. I don’t know anyone in my circle of friends or work colleagues who doesn’t. A lot of firearms here are passed down to family members, or traded to friends so no records. The article is just a load of BS. Propaganda for the Bugmen.

    Xzebek · July 8, 2023 at 7:37 pm

    I also live in Montana. At least in my area 80% plus of people own firearms; usually more than one if for no other reason different guns are needed for different game.

EN2 SS · July 8, 2023 at 8:37 pm

We have been in a literal fight for survival of this country for decades now, and the leftists are bringing it down to the individual level now. It will be interesting when the non-existent gun owners decide they have had all they are willing to take from the leftists. If they do decide to join the fight for survival and not go along to get along as most people have been doing for decades.

NCpilot · July 8, 2023 at 9:05 pm

The classic resource on this very topic is JWR’s seminal work The Mathematics of Countering Tyranny from back in May of 2018 – . Back then, just over five yars ago now, JWR intelligently came up with numbers of somewhere between 370 million and 420 million privately-owned firearms in the United States. His analysis of what actions will be required by the collectivist gun-grabbers to come and take them quickly yielded the obvious conclusion that they (the door-kicking tyrants) would run out of willing door kickers, very quickly. One can only imagine the current numbers as rightly postulated by DM and his great readers. The hubris and insane psychotic beliefs and attitudes of the globohomo consortium will ultimately spark their rather kinetic downfall….

    Divemedic · July 8, 2023 at 9:56 pm

    When JWR did that calculation, there had only been 288 million NICS checks. Now, five years later, there have been over 460 million. So in the 5 years since JWR’s estimate, there have been at least 228 million firearms sold, and that doesn’t count the 80% and 3D printed firearms, which I don’t think is an insignificant number.
    In 2018, he estimated 10 million ARs with 2 million more made per year. That number is known to be low. Since 2018, at least 15 million ARs have been added to the total. The Feds are looking at more than 30 million AR pattern rifles in private hands.

oldvet50 · July 9, 2023 at 8:27 am

I never worried about door-to-door confiscation. Once the gun is outlawed, you may use it once or twice to save your life, but then they will come at you with force. The only salvation would be to unite in opposition to these officials – but I doubt that will happen. Things are happening as foretold. I am old and when I was taught about the end times in Sunday School as a boy, I could not imagine a scenario where that could happen. It not only makes sense now, but all the elements are in place for it to occur soon. My favorite is ‘they will have eyes but can not see and ears, but can not hear’. Argue with a liberal and see if that isn’t spot on. It’s not that they won’t, they can’t!

Jonesy · July 9, 2023 at 1:11 pm

This is just more gaslighting by the left. The actual numbers don’t matter. It’s just another front to try and minimize the fact that the left and their tyrannical cronies are outnumbered and outgunned. All part of the push to pass more gun control and criminalize self defense. It’s aimed at their own and the slight majority of the country that don’t own firearms, with hopes that they create more antigun sentiment.

Jester · July 9, 2023 at 4:16 pm

I think there’s a few on the left or globalists that know the real numbers to some accuracy. This stuff is just gaslighting those that think maybe as someone in the middle perhaps I’m in the minority with owning a firearm? I also think this is propaganda to just push the normal so far to the right that anything else becomes normal. Also hey door kickers, there’s only a few people you need to go get, the rest will fall inline, see our numbers! Nothing like pumping them up for conflict till they start to see the reality. Japan had that fellow that said trying to do anything in the mainland US would find a rifle behind every blade of grass or something to that effect. They knew it even then.

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