Working the numbers

Because I like to look at numbers, let’s take a look at US death numbers for the first 20 weeks of 2020 and compare them to the numbers for the first 20 weeks of 2019.

For the first 20 weeks of this year, there have been 1,151,067 deaths in the USA. 
For the first 20 weeks of 2019, there were 1,134,396 deaths in the USA.
Meaning that there were 16,671 more deaths for the same period in 2020 than there were in 2019. 
Even so, the powers that be are claiming over 91,027 dead from COVID 19 for the same period. 
The CDC listed Flu related pneumonia deaths for the first 20 weeks of 2019 as being 171,184.
For flu related pneumonia in 2020, the number of deaths has been listed at 104,341.
If you take the difference in flu related pneumonia, reclassify those viral pneumonias as being COVID related instead, then add in the 16,671 additional deaths for 2020, you arrive at the figure of 83,514.
It appears as though many viral pneumonias are being reclassified as “presumed COVID” while last year, they were being classified as “presumed influenza.” The reason is that many of the symptoms are the same, and if a patient has been symptomatic for more than 5 days, hospitals don’t bother testing for influenza because there is no difference in treatment between influenza and other viral pneumonias.
Source: CDC influenza statistics spreadsheet, found:
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/data/NCHSData20.csv

Random thought

Why does EVERY show that involves gun play wind up with a pseudo martial arts battle following someone being disarmed by some sort of slick move? Why do the people attempting the disarming ever get shot? This is why so many soccer moms believe that if you carry a gun, it will just get taken away and used against you.

Sting

An ad for this product came up on my FB feed.

If this isn’t an ATF sting operation, I will be surprised. Almost as obvious as the guy about 10 years ago who approached me in the parking lot of the Orlando gun show and offered to sell me an M-2 carbine, complete with happy switch, for only $800.

The are going to do to the nation what they did to gas cans

The CDC just issued recommendations for reopening schools. They are impossible to comply with.

No sharing of items or supplies? That means no shared textbooks, computers, calculators, or anything else. Where are schools going to get the money to buy all of this stuff?

Desks six feet apart. This means that each student’s desk area will occupy 28 square feet of space. My largest class had 26 students this year, meaning that each classroom will have to be about 750 square feet. Not all classrooms are that large.

One child per seat on the bus and skip every other seat. That means a bus designed for 60 can only take 15 or so. How are schools going to get their kids home when some of them already get home 3 hours after school is over?

No changing of classrooms. How are high schools to function? I teach science. How will I teach math, social studies, foreign languages, and all of the other classes students need? Heck, not all students are in the same math classes. Some are in Calculus, others Geometry, some Business math. Everyone is to have lunch in class?

Then there are Federal laws that dictate that certain students get services that I cannot provide. If I follow these recommendations, I am violating several Federal education laws.

Back in March, the CDC was projecting that over 2 million Americans would die from the Wuhan flu.

They projected that our hospitals would be overwhelmed. To prevent this, we were told that we would all as a nation have to be placed on house arrest. ‘Flatten the curve’ became our war cry.

The CDC and WHO announced that masks were not effective at preventing infection. Then just a couple of months later, they were made mandatory, then a couple of weeks after that, we are finding out that there is no evidence that masks are effective, but they remain required, because there is no evidence that they AREN’T effective, either.

New York city became overwhelmed. Medical personnel from all over the country were sent to NYC to help out, my son among them. The reports coming from there were downright scary.

We were told that the risk of infection from services was so great, that no self serve stations for food or beverage would be permitted by the FDA. Several restaurants went out of business as a result. More of them remain closed, waiting for that order to change. Even though the CDC now says that there is no evidence that transmission from surfaces is even possible.

When do we believe you?

COVID fakery

Scientists and epidemiologists admit that there is no evidence that masks prevent the transmission of respiratory infections, but state the people should wear them anyway.

Evan as it turns out that states who are loosening the ‘lockdown’ restrictions are seeing reductions in COVID cases. This tracks with what I saw last week, that there is no evidence that lockdowns change the progression of COVID infections in populations.

So do we stay in lockdown until there is a vaccine, or just until the election is over?

Safety warning- sex offender poses as cop

For more than 20 years, Jeremy Dewitte has plagued the United States, parading around as a cop. A very confrontational one. He owns a company called Metro State Services whose stated business is to escort funeral processions. Here is a video of him in action:

He and his brother both do this while driving vehicles that look remarkably like police vehicles and wearing uniforms that appear so convincing that Dewitte’s brother (named Dylan Vogt) has actually directed real cops to make arrests, and they obeyed. Once the mistake was realized, charges against the man were dropped, but now he is suing everyone involved.

He was convicted of impersonating a LEO in 2001 and served 22 months in prison. He was also convicted of sexually molesting a child in 2003, serving a year for that crime. He is required to register as a sex offender, and was arrested for failing to do that in 2008.

In all, he has been arrested four times for impersonating a police officer. Here is the link to a story about his third impersonation arrest. Being a convicted felon means that he cannot possess a firearm or ammunition, so he carries an air soft gun in his police holster, which he has been known to reach for when confronted. 

While in Chicago, he attacked a tow truck driver and managed to convince the responding officers that he was a Florida LEO, so they let him go.

It isn’t just cops that he impersonates. He has also been involved in faking an Army career- the most decorated and qualified private in US Army history.

It seems as though he is constantly in trouble with the law. He was arrested in February for illegally recording state’s attorney employees phone calls.

Be careful when obeying what you think might be a cop. It may be a sex offender in disguise.

Georgia shooting

The Ahmad Arbery case: my position.

By now, everyone who reads this blog is familiar with the case, where two white men (Greg McMichaels and his son Travis) allegedly harassed and shot a black man (Ahmad Arbery) who was doing nothing but jogging. When this story was getting press, I old everyone that I would be waiting for more evidence before forming an opinion, especially considering that Benjamin Crump is the family’s attorney.

Well, enough evidence has come to light that I feel comfortable forming an opinion.

There are a couple of videos that are in the public domain that show 1)Mr. Arbery charging the pair of armed men who shoot him and are later charged with his murder, and a second video that shows Mr. Arbery inside of a home that was under construction less than 2 weeks before the shooting. This second video is important, not because of what it shows, but that it establishes some ground work.

The owner of the home under construction had been having problems with break ins to the point that he installed motion sensors and security cameras on the property. Those cameras showed Arbery inside of the home on at least three different occasions in the months before the shooting.

In fact, the construction site being burglarized was so pervasive that the owner asked police for help, and one officer recommended that they contact Greg McMichaels for assistance.

Greg spotted Arbery jogging in the neighborhood and alerted his son, Travis. The two armed themselves and went to confront Arbery. Arbery ran around the truck, closed the distance between himself and Travis (who was armed with a shotgun), there was a struggle for the weapon and Armery was shot twice. The autopsy shows that Arbery had been trying to take Travis’ shotgun, because one of the shots had gone through Arbery’s wrist in an angle consistent with him holding onto the barrel of the weapon.

During this, a third man (Perez) had arrived. He had this to say:

All we knew about him was that he was the guy who kept showing up on our cameras, no one knew who it was.

I don’t see how this will be admitted at trial because Perez can’t possibly testify to what the other people there knew or didn’t know.

Arbery was no choir boy. He was confronted by a school resource officer who spotted him with a gun stuffed in his waistband while trying to enter a basketball game. Arbery ran, ditched the gun, but was caught anyway. He admitted to being armed after the gun was found on the ground. Arbery was sentenced to five years’ probation as a first offender on charges of carrying a weapon on campus and several counts of obstructing a law enforcement officer.

In December of 2017, Arbery was arrested for shoplifting a television at the local WalMart. Greg McMichaels led the investigation that resulted in Arbery having his probation violated.

So these are the important facts, IMO. Here is how it appears to me:

The McMichaels have already admitted that they shot and killed Arbery. Remember that any trial will involve the prosecution attempting to prove that, beyond a reasonable doubt this was NOT a self defense shooting. I will leave the lawyers to argue the legal minutiae, but I do know that the case will hinge on what the mindset of the shooter was at the time of the shooting. If Travis is found to have shot Arbery in self defense, then I don’t see how they can convict Greg for being his accomplice.

All the defense has to do is come up with a scenario that fits the evidence and looks like self defense. I think there is room here to paint the story as:

The McMichaels knew that there had been break ins, that Greg knew that Arbery was known to be a criminal, and that he was known to carry weapons. Greg McMichaels was working cooperatively with the police and the homeowner of the structure Arbery unlawfully entered, to keep an eye on the property, particularly in the event of unlawful intruders. When they saw Arbery, they were going to question him as to what he had been doing on the property.

When he saw them, instead of running away or stopping to talk, he charged Travis, grabbed the muzzle of the shotgun and attempted to wrest it away. Fearing for his life, Travis fired to defend himself.

My opinion is this: It will be difficult for the prosecution to get a conviction on this case, unless there is other evidence out there that somehow changes the entire story.