Bust

Matt Drudge has been coming under fire for accusing NOAA of over exaggerating Hurricane Matthew’s data. The hurricane’s eyewall passed right over a data buoy, and the highest sustained wind reported was 56 knots, with a gust to 68. That is FAR below the reported strength. In fact, not one weather station has reported winds of the reported strength. In fact, the station in the Bahamas is not only offline, but so is all of its historical data.

Here at my location, the highest wind we have had is 25 mph. We have gotten an inch and a half of rain in the past 24 hours, and most of that was a single band that passed over us yesterday afternoon.

The preparations for this storm cost the people of this state tens of millions of dollars, far more than the storm damage cost. There were already people who refused to evacuate, and next time there will be even more who refuse to do so.

Good job, NHC.

It begins

This is the first time that I have had to use any of my contingency plans since I have been with my fiance. She, not being from Florida and not being a prepper, is not used to preparing for hurricanes. I, on the other hand, am from Louisiana and grew up on stories of past hurricanes like Camille, spent more than 2 decades as a firemedic, with five of those years being as a member of the USAR that was deployed to hurricanes and other disasters all over the south. 

My preparations caused her to tell me that I was “panicking” and that we wouldn’t have a problem because she has never had a weather related problem in the 7 years she has lived here. I had to show her pictures from Katrina, which had 120 mile per hour winds, and then show her that this storm would have 140 mile per hour winds in order to get her to go along. Still, I assume that she is simply humoring me and that I will hear about it later, if we don’t have too much bad weather.

As a prelude to this storm, we filled both vehicles with fuel, made sure all of our propane tanks were full, and ensured all batteries were charged. I filled all of our reserve water cans and removed all of the loose stuff from the yard. I tested my HAM radio system and checked in with the local radio network, to ensure that we can call for help if and when the phone system goes down (as it did with Hurricane Charley in 2004 in Central Florida, and with Katrina in Mississippi in 2005).
I have all the food that we need, and much of it doesn’t need to be cooked. The generator was started and run for a bit as a test, and that is as much as I think we need to do.
Yesterday, this is what the bread aisle looked like in the local supermarket:
There were lines at the gas station, and police were there to keep an eye on things, as there were a few fights at some locations. Society unravels quickly. 
The first rain band came through here about a half an hour ago, and in less than 15 minutes we got half an inch of rain. I will update from time to time.

NYC soon to have no groceries

A new law proposed for New York City will allow citizens to upload videos of vehicles sitting with their engines idling, and the citizen will receive 50% of the collected fine, which for a tractor- trailer can range from $500 to 18,000 for a first offense.

Since over the road truckers MUST stop periodically by law for mandated rest periods, and the engine must be running to power air conditioning and other equipment, this law is posed to eliminate trucks from New York City.

Riot law review

Let’s review the applicable rules: 
Throwing a Molotov cocktail is arson, which is a forcible felony. 
A Molotov cocktail is also considered to be a destructive device under 790.001.Throwing one is a forcible felony 
Participating in a riot whereby the participants are forcibly and violently attempting to destroy any building is a forcible felony under 870.03.

Throwing stones and rocks into an occupied structure is a forcible felony under 790.19.

A person who is occupying a vehicle that is forcibly and unlawfully being entered is presumed to be in reasonable fear for his life under 776.013.  A person who is attacked in his or her dwelling, residence, or vehicle has no duty to retreat and has the right to stand his or her ground and use or threaten to use force, including deadly force. 
This means that anyone who attempts to forcibly pull me from my vehicle may be lawfully engaged with lethal force. 

Security report, SeaWorld Orlando

Sea World Orlando’s security was tested by me on four different occasions during a two year period, ending in the Spring of 2016. During each of those 4 occasions, I was legally carrying a handgun and successfully entered the park each time without being questioned or stopped for security in any way.

There was little to no security visible in the parking lot. Several unguarded access gates were noted to be locked with no security personnel visible nearby, but there were security cameras. To what extent they are monitored is unknown.

The park was inspecting all bags coming through the front gate. This inspection was cursory, and a bag with a hidden compartment would probably result in the ability to smuggle other items in, but this was not tested. Park employees were pulling some people from the line to be checked with a handheld magnetometer, but the check was poorly done.

There was an average of four police officers visible at the front gate, who were standing around shooting the breeze.

Security inside the park was limited to a few uniformed security officers.

Overall, it was easy to enter the park armed and wander about. The parking lot appeared virtually unguarded and unmonitored. A person who is carrying a weapon will likely not be discovered, as there is effectively no limit on the carrying of weapons.

Man who stopped stabbing not really a cop

The stabbing in Minnesota was carried out by an African Immigrant. He was stopped by a man named Jason Falconer, who the press is reporting is an off-duty police officer.

The truth that the press is not reporting is that he is actually a concealed carry advocate and owner of a Minnesota company called called Tactical Advantage; its website says the company “is a full-service range with range rental, range gun rental, retail sales, limited gunsmith service and stellar training.”

Falconer’s biography on that site states that he is the former police chief of Albany, NY, and is still a part time officer and firearms instructor for that department. How can a man who lives and works in Minnesota be a part time police officer for Albany, a city which is 1300 miles away? My guess is that this allows him to carry weapons where us simple proles cannot, and may also allow him to own machine guns that are not allowed to be owned by mere mortals.


Either way, the press will continue to report that it was a cop, because the press admitting that a person with a CCW stopped a mass killing just isn’t going to happen.


EDITED TO ADD: It looks like there is an Albany, MN. I retract the last part of this post, with apologies. Oops.

Supply and Demand

A bomb goes off in New York City. Thousands of people rush to get home, and call for an Uber car. This surge in demand causes all of the available drivers to be busy with fares. Now there are no available drivers, so Uber’s automated systems recognize this and increase fares, passing the fare increase to the drivers, thus luring more drivers off the couch and into taking fares to alleviate the surge.

This is a classic demonstration of the iron law of supply and demand. As demand increases, the availability of a product decreases, and prices increase. This has the dual effect of both increasing supply (more drivers want a shot at delivering the product at the increased price) and reducing demand (fewer passengers willing to pay the increased price) until the system again reaches equilibrium. That is exactly how supply and demand works, and the law of supply and demand is inviolable. As long as there is a product which consumers demand, as well as those who would supply that product, the law applies.

Of course, that doesn’t stop people from accusing Uber of profiteering. They don’t stop to consider factors which are affecting prices, mostly because they are self absorbed and don’t understand basic economics.

Reddit

A few years ago, I took a class on terrorism at a local college in pursuit of my degree in Public Safety. One of the things that I did for the class was plan a terrorist attack on a soft target in the area, and then see what steps should have been taken to prevent it. As a result, I saw that the security at these locations was there only for show. I continued to check other locations and saw how flimsy the security was, and used some of these checks as the basis for a post or two.

My recent post on being armed at Disney got linked to from Reddit. That link resulted in over 1,000 unique page visits, making it the second most popular post that I have ever written. That got me to thinking: I have been entering non permissive locations for years now, and I think that I am going to begin writing up reports on the security of non permissive locations. Here are the ground rules that I am setting up for this series:

1 I will not enter in violation of the law. When I enter places, understand that I am not breaking the law. I always try to use an actual weapon where legal, in places where it is illegal to have a weapon I have used analogs, things that appear to an x-ray machine or magnetometer to be a weapon, but upon actual visual inspection are obviously not a weapon.
2 I am not interesting in debating the basis for concealed carry. One of the biggest comments over on Reddit was how you don’t need a gun at Disney or anywhere else, unless you are in a “bad” neighborhood. I think this is a rather naive position to take, but if you don’t think you need to carry, then don’t. Just don’t try and stop me for choosing to carry. I would, however point out that Disney parks are a dangerous place, with even Federal law enforcement officers being kidnapped and carjacked there. Sometimes it is the Disney security guards themselves committing the crimes. Even the terrorist who was the shooter in Orlando had scouted Disney as a possible target. 
3 I also do not want to debate the morality of carrying against a property owner’s wishes. I don’t care what his wishes are. I don’t owe him a thing, and I am free to ignore his wishes as I please, as long as I am following the law. 
Think of the above rules, and consider this:
A criminal or terrorist will bring a weapon in to these places, and doesn’t care about the law, the owner’s wishes, or whether or not concealed carry is a good idea. If I can legally sneak a weapon into these places, a criminal or terrorist could also do so illegally with the intent of killing, robbing, or kidnapping you. 
So, this will be a recurring feature here. Look for my upcoming posts.