The jury will get the Chauvin trial today. I expect that deliberations won’t take long. We should have a verdict by tomorrow night. Here is my hot take:
Chauvin will go to jail. How he gets there, and what he is convicted of, will depend on a few of things.
No matter what the evidence says, the jury hasn’t been in a news blackout. We KNOW that there are people who desperately wanted on that jury, and they made it. The jury also knows that eventually, they will be doxxed. For those reasons, I would have made sure that I was not picked for this jury. There is NO WAY I would put myself in this position, if I thought there was the remotest chance that I would be morally compelled to vote “not guilty” because I know what that would mean to my future. The people on that jury are not stupid, and they likely see things the same way. For that reason, I don’t see any verdict other than guilty being possible.
Never let a crisis go to waste. The Democrats NEED Chauvin to be not guilty, at least of the most serious charges. What’s that, you say? Aren’t the Democrats the ones who WANT Chauvin convicted? No, they aren’t- what the Democrats need is an energized electorate who is angry enough to demand that things change. Mollifying them by tossing Chauvin in jail doesn’t do that. They need perceived ‘injustice’, they need rioting, they need anger. Now that doesn’t happen if Chauvin is convicted on the most serious charges. So mark this one down as “guilty, but of lesser charges” or perhaps even walking away on the state charges, but later tossed in jail on Federal charges like the cops in the Rodney King trials. That will produce rioting and allow more power to be seized on the heels of this ‘crisis’.
In the meantime, stay away from cities and stay away from large groups of black people, at least until things cool down a bit.