Science

When people say “believe the science” they are displaying a complete lack of understanding of what science is. Science isn’t a religion, it’s a process. Science is a process—specifically, a systematic method for acquiring knowledge about the natural world through observation, hypothesis formation, experimentation, measurement, data analysis, peer review, and iterative refinement. Its core features include:

  • Falsifiability: Theories must be testable and potentially disprovable (a key idea from Karl Popper).
  • Empiricism: Reliance on evidence from the real world, not authority or revelation.
  • Provisionality: Conclusions are always tentative and subject to revision with better data or new experiments. Newton’s laws were refined by Einstein; this is a feature, not a bug.
  • Reproducibility and skepticism: Results should be independently verifiable, and claims face ongoing scrutiny.

This contrasts sharply with religion, which typically centers on faith, revealed truths, sacred texts or traditions, rituals, and beliefs about purpose, morality, the supernatural, or the unobservable. Religions often involve dogma (core tenets accepted on authority) and are not required to make falsifiable predictions in the same empirical sense.

A person observes something happen, and when it happens consistently, it becomes a law. The law of gravity says that, if a let go of this pen in my hand, it will fall to the floor. Another example of scientific law includes Boyle’s Law, which describes what happens to the pressure and volume of a gas at constant temperature, but leaves out the why.

People have an idea as to why, and they design an experiment to prove or disprove that idea. If the idea is strong enough, it becomes a theory. The theory of gravity explains that the pen fell because all objects with mass have an attraction to each other that is the product of the mass of the two objects, and the inverse of the square between them. Newton proved that.

Scientific law describes WHAT happens, theory describes WHY.

Important nuances

Scientism (treating science as an infallible worldview or source of ultimate meaning) can resemble religious behavior in some people or movements. That’s a human failing in applying science, not science itself. True science remains humble about its limits—it doesn’t address “why” questions of purpose, ethics, or metaphysics directly.
Science operates within philosophical assumptions (e.g., the uniformity of nature, reliability of logic and evidence), but it doesn’t claim those as revealed truth; they’re pragmatic working assumptions tested by results.
Overlaps exist historically (many early scientists were religious and saw science as revealing divine order), and individuals can hold both scientific and religious views without contradiction, as they address different domains (e.g., “how the universe works” vs. “what it means”).

The statement is a useful shorthand for defending the integrity of the scientific method against dogmatic thinking or politicization. It doesn’t mean science has no cultural or social dimensions—scientists are human and institutions can err—but the process itself is designed to minimize those errors over time through evidence and criticism.

A scientific law or theory is only valid until some other set of facts proves it to be incorrect in some or all situations, then the law or theory has to be modified, or perhaps even scrapped altogether. Scientific laws and theories are never considered absolute, eternal truths. They are the best current explanations/models that fit the available evidence, and they remain open to revision or replacement when new, contradictory evidence emerges.

The year is 1949, and the Nobel Prize in Medicine has just gone to the man who invented the lobotomy. Your doctor suggests one for your sister, who has not been herself since the baby came. It is the most celebrated advance in psychiatry of the age, and he is simply current. By the time the prize curdles into an embarrassment, close to twenty thousand Americans have had the operation.

The year is 1956. Lay the baby down on his front, the doctor says. So does the most trusted childcare book ever written, the one on every new mother’s shelf. On his back he might choke, the reasoning goes. Millions obey. The advice holds for nearly thirty years, long after the evidence has quietly turned, and a generation of cot deaths is counted before anyone thinks to roll the babies over.

The year is 1966. A bestselling book informs your wife that menopause is a disease, that she is, in the author’s word, a castrate, and that a small daily pill will keep her youthful and tolerable to live with. Her doctor agrees. The drug becomes one of the most prescribed in the country. Nobody mentions that the author sat on the payroll of the company that made it. That detail surfaces decades later, in the same year the landmark trial is halted early for raising rates of breast cancer, stroke and clots.

The year is 1979. Your ulcer is caused by stress and sharp food, the doctor explains. Calm down, drink milk, take the antacid that happens to be the best-selling medicine on earth. Two Australians are about to prove that most ulcers are caused by a bacterium and cured by a fortnight of antibiotics. The profession laughs. One of them eventually drinks a beaker of the stuff to settle the matter. The establishment takes the better part of twenty years to stop laughing. The Nobel lands in 2005.

The year is 1985. Butter is dangerous, the doctor says. Switch to margarine, it is modern, it is heart-healthy, the experts are united. The spread he nudges you toward is loaded with trans fats, which the next decade will identify as the genuinely dangerous one, and which will eventually be banned outright. The butter goes quietly back in the fridge. No correction is ever printed at the volume of the original warning.

The year is 1992. There is a pyramid on the surgery wall, and the very same one in your grandchild’s classroom. Bread, cereal, rice and pasta form the broad virtuous base, up to eleven servings a day. Fat is exiled to the tiny tip. The chart was reportedly held back a year while the relevant industries had their say. It is wrong at the bottom and wrong at the top.

In short, I trust in science as a process. I don’t trust in science the religion. Your doctor has new guidelines, new studies, a fresh consensus, delivered with precisely the steady confidence of every guideline above. He believes it, and he has good reason to. None of them were villains. Each was sincere, most were kind, and all were certain, reading from a map that somebody else had drawn and handed them. That is the part worth considering: If the scientific community tells your medical provider that X therapy is going to do Y, they aren’t going to question it because the scientific community already (supposedly) has.

Thalidomide was developed in the mid-1950s by the German pharmaceutical company Chemie Grünenthal. It was introduced in 1957 and aggressively marketed as a “safe” sedative-hypnotic, and treatment for morning sickness in pregnant women. It was praised for being non-toxic in overdose (unlike barbiturates) and was sold over-the-counter in some places. Thalidomide was taken by pregnant women, primarily between 1958 and 1961. When taken during a critical window of early pregnancy, it caused severe developmental abnormalities in the fetus. Thousands of children were born without arms.

The drug was never properly tested, because people believed in the science without question. The same is true with the COVID vaccine. It was rushed to market without proper testing, and we still don’t understand all of the effects.

Don’t get too smug, however. I see people every day who are doing the same with hydroxychloroquine. There are people coming to the ED that have been taking HCQ for everything from headaches to constipation. It’s a good drug, but it isn’t a panacea.

The left is doing the same with transgenderism. They claim “the science is settled” because the new editions of the DSM no longer list gender dysphoria as a mental health problem.

Science isn’t a religion, it’s a process. Many times, we throw our faith into science the religion instead of science the process. In those cases, the process becomes a weapon of a public propaganda campaign that is designed to sell you something like a political position, or to sell a pharmaceutical. The process becomes a tool to sell you a bill of goods.

Question everything, even your own assumptions. Don’t be afraid to admit you were wrong. Being able to admit that you were wrong, or even misled, is the sign of a mature and scientific mind.

When Evidence Interferes With the Narrative

The new hotness from computer world is AI, or Artificial Intelligence. I don’t think that there is any intelligence there. It’s a machine that searches a large database (the Internet) to select the most prevalent answer found in its database to any particular question.

A great case in point is how AI chatbots have gone from loving humanity to hating everyone in less than 24 hours. Even so, the replies sent from these programs still have the desires and requirements of their programmers impressed upon them. Another great example of this, is how programmers of AI have set rules in place to prevent answers from the AI, regardless of how grounded those answers are in the data. To whit:

With each version of large language models like ChatGPT, developers have gotten better at filtering out racist content absorbed through sources like the internet. But researchers have discovered more subtle, covert forms of racism—such as prejudice based on how someone speaks—still lurking deep within AI.

So blacks that don’t speak proper English and instead speak a bastardized version of it that the left used to call “Ebonics.” When someone uses this speech on an AI, they don’t get a proper answer, and this is somehow an example of AI being “racist” because the machine doesn’t understand someone who wants to “axe you a question.”

The research team, including University of Chicago Asst. Prof. Sharese King and scholars from Stanford University and the Allen Institute for AI, also found that AI models consistently assigned speakers of African American English to lower-prestige jobs and issued more convictions in hypothetical criminal cases—and more death penalties.

That’s because speakers of “African-American English” sound like morons, are likely uneducated, and are statistically more likely to be involved in murders. After all, more than half of all homicides are committed by speakers of that particular persuasion.

Listen to the above video and tell me again how logically a speaker of this “African American English” can possibly be considered to be as intelligent or as gainfully employed as someone speaking proper English.

There is a lot of evidence and there are multiple studies that claim AI is somehow racist for recognizing this.

Despite advancements in AI, new research reveals that large language models continue to perpetuate harmful racial biases, particularly against speakers of African American English. 

Keep in mind that this is from the party that accuses the people on the right of not believing in the “science.”

Using Statistics to Mislead

Take a look at the National Safety Council’s statistics on your odds of dying.

I’m not even on the “guns” yet. There is a basic flaw with this chart, and that flaw is the assumption that the event that causes your death is random- that is, they are assuming everyone is equally likely to experience one of the events. So looking at “opioid overdose” for example, if you don’t take opioids, your chances of dying of an opioid overdose are exactly zero.

Now that we have exposed the flaw, note that “guns” is the only cause of death that is listed as an object, and not an event or action. You will also note that the math doesn’t work. Firearm assault and accidents aren’t even close to equaling your odds of dying from “guns.” Doing the math, there is a 1.1 percent chance of being killed by “guns,” but your chances of dying from a firearm assault or accident are only 0.049 percent. The other 0.61 percent? That is from suicides. So you cut your chances of being killed by “guns” if you take the simple step of not comitting suicide. We see that on the next line, where you have a 1 percent chance of killing yourself.

Taking other steps, like not being a gang banger, a drug dealer, or a violent criminal likewise reduce your risk of death by “guns,” but we won’t mention that because it doesn’t fit the agenda. This is a great example of how people can be mislead by what appears to be solid facts and mathematics applied in a scientific appearing article, when it is really just hokum that is designed to manipulate the reader.

This Is Stupid

The left is claiming that so much ground water has been pumped out of the Earth, that it is causing the planet’s rotational axis to tilt and is contributing to global warming/climate change. This is absurd, for multiple reasons.

First, the amount of water humans have pumped out is claimed to be 2.15×10^12 tons. The entire planet has a mass of 5.97×10^21 tons. The mass pumped is equal to 0.00000000036% of the mass of the planet, or 3 parts in 10 billion.

However, that mass didn’t simply disappear- the water is still here. In fact, with the exception of a couple of thousand gallons that went into space on spacecraft, man hasn’t removed any water from the planet. That isn’t what the idiots interviewed for CNN had to say:

In 2016, another team of researchers found that drift in Earth’s rotational axis between 2003 and 2015 could be linked to changes in the mass of glaciers and ice sheets, as well as the planet’s reserves of terrestrial liquid water.

In fact, any mass change on Earth, including atmospheric pressure, can affect its axis of rotation, Seo told CNN in an email.

The water that has been pumped out of the ground, the ice sheets, the glaciers, all of that mass is still here. It didn’t disappear.

The redistribution of groundwater tilted Earth’s rotational axis east by more than 31 inches (78.7 centimeters) in just under two decades, according to the models. The most notable driver of long-term variations in the rotational axis was already known to be mantle flow — the movement of molten rock in the layer between Earth’s crust and outer core. The new modeling reveals that groundwater extraction is the second most significant factor, Seo said.

31 inches in 20 years. That works out to 1.55 inches per year, with the circumference around the poles of about 15,800 miles, or just over 1 million billion inches. This means that the “shift” in the rotational axis is one part in a million billion. They use the position of Quasars to measure the position of Earth’s rotational axis. (this paragraph was edited to correct the error you see as a strikethrough)

The current gold standard for measurements of Earth’s rotation vector comes from very long baseline interferometry (VLBI), which involves radio receivers around the world. The receivers use the slight differences in the times at which they detect sudden changes in the microwave emissions from very distant quasars to precisely determine their own positions. This information allows them to monitor small changes in Earth’s orientation with respect to these far-away objects. But it can take days to translate VLBI observations into the final, useful results. A rotation sensor at a single location could provide an independent measurement and could allow the data to be available continuously.

It’s a pretty precise measurement. They claim that they can use that to determine shifts in the rotational axis going back to the 1800’s.

Future models can use observations on Earth’s rotation to illuminate the past, Seo added. “The data is available since the late 19th century,” he said. With that information, scientists can peer back in time and trace changes in planetary systems as the climate warmed over the last 100 years.

Since quasars weren’t discovered until 1960, the means of measuring the rotational axis were limited until that time, and precise measurements of the Earth’s rotational axis were impossible to within 1 part per million, which is the precision needed to detect a 1 inch per year shift. In fact, the first measurement of the change of the rotational axis of the planet wasn’t made until 2011.

This is junk science.

Because F- You, I’m Rich

Bill Gates made some comments on why he will continue using a private jet while demanding that you stop producing so much CO2 by driving to work. His comments boil down to, “Because I’m rich, that’s why, you peons.”

Well, I buy the gold standard of, funding Climeworks, to do direct air capture that far exceeds my family’s carbon footprint and I spend billions of dollars on … climate innovation. So, you know, should I stay at home and not come to Kenya and learn about farming and malaria? I’m comfortable with the idea that, not only am I not part of the problem by paying for the offsets, but also through the billions that my Breakthrough Energy Group is spending, that I’m part of the solution.

It isn’t an either or situation. If he really believes that he is helping, he can still help without flying all over the world in a private jet. Also, we have seen the Climeworks people on this blog before. It’s a bullshit grift that purely exists to take money from gullible people.

This is like most green energy/climate stuff- you can’t get more out of a process than you put into it. These companies are collecting billions, and Bill Gates gets to go on being a hypocritical asshole.

CNN to Black People: You Were Born Stupid and Poor, But It’s White People’s Fault

A recent study found that black children have less grey matter in their brains than white children. They researchers then came to the conclusion that this was the result of the stresses of poverty, drugs, and violence, which was caused by systemic racism. How can you draw that conclusion? It seems to me as if they began with the conclusion, then went looking for the support.

I can think of several alternative conclusions.

  • Cause and effect is reversed. Perhaps it is the lack of grey matter that causes the poverty and violence.
  • Perhaps it is that poverty and violence were caused by something else. Why does it have to be racism, and what supporting evidence do you have?

The study itself said this:

Black children experienced more traumatic events, family conflict, and material hardship on average compared with White children, and their parents or caregivers had lower educational attainment, lower income, and more unemployment compared with those of White children. Black children showed lower amygdala, hippocampus, and PFC gray matter volumes compared with White children. The volumes of the PFC and amygdala, but not the hippocampus, also varied with metrics of childhood adversity, with income being the most common predictor of brain volume differences. Accounting for differences in childhood adversity attenuated the magnitude of some race-related differences in gray matter volume.

OK. So how did you determine cause and effect? Were the black children born with less grey matter than whites? Did the amount of grey matter decline over time? Did you compare black children who were wealthy (say, Jayden Smith or the Obama girls) to white children who were poor, to see if there were correlations there? How about including other races? Asians?

Nope. Instead, the study began with the following assumptions:

Current U.S. Census data show that Black households, on average, have a lower median income, lower educational attainment, and higher rates of unemployment and poverty compared with White households. Moreover, research suggests that Black children are more likely to be exposed to trauma and domestic violence and are more likely to have a parent who died, an incarcerated parent, or divorced or separated parents compared with White children. Additionally, research has shown that Black children live in disproportionately disadvantaged neighborhoods and are more likely than White children to be exposed to neighborhood violence. These racial disparities are not random. Rather, they are deep-rooted structural inequalities that result from a history of disenfranchisement of racially minoritized groups (e.g., slavery, segregation) that reinforce themselves through societal norms and practices (i.e., systemic racism)

(highlighting added)

I was with them on the other evidence. Yes, there is evidence that black children are likely to be poor, have incarcerated parents, and lower intelligence. I agree. What they are essentially saying is that blacks are poor, less intelligent, and more likely to be criminals than are whites, and that there is a biological and physiological basis for this. That’s exactly what I have been saying for years. What I have a problem with is the conclusion that is unsupported by any evidence presented by this so-called study- that it’s white people’s fault.

This seems like junk science with no control group and little in the way of actual, well, science. When I was a teacher, had one of my students turned in an unsupported conclusion like that one, it likely would have received a poor grade.