Killers Planning and Training

The Parkland shooter admitted to a psychiatrist that he had planned a school massacre for over 5 years. He looked at previous shootings and studied what previous shooters had done. He learned to pie corners, he learned police response times, he learned to not let people get close.

He knew that he would have 20 minutes to carry out his plan without police interference.

Think about that while carrying in your day to day life. The shooter has a plan, he has the initiative, and you will be playing catchup.

Bro

Hollywood is trying to make excuses as to why the Gay Romantic Comedy “Bros” has a dismal opening weekend. The liberals in California and the critics (but I repeat myself) LOVED it:

I snuck in and sat in the back of a sold out theater playing BROS in LA. The audience howled with laughter start to finish, burst into applause at the end, and some were wiping away tears as they walked out

Most of America isn’t a hard core lefty crowd. While most soccer moms don’t mind gay people and enjoyed shows like Queer Eye or Will and Grace, they don’t want to watch movies about men having discussions about sucking each other’s dicks.

Even with glowing reviews, great Rotten Tomatoes scores, an A CinemaScore etc, straight people, especially in certain parts of the country, just didn’t show up for Bros

The movie had a budget of $22 million, and pulled in less than $5 million in its opening weekend. This means that the studio is unlikely to turn a profit on the film.

More Ominous Signs

One branch of intelligence is called intentions and warnings, which is the study of actions taken by a potential adversary that will warn you of what they plan on doing in the near future.

I recently told you about reports that Russian strategic bombers were active at a base far away from their normal, closer to Ukraine home base. The base where they are located just happens to be where Russia stores a large number of its nuclear warheads.

Another disturbing report is that Russia has deployed its largest nuclear submarine from its homeport. Its whereabouts are unknown, but it is presumed to be in the Arctic ocean.

A third piece of news that indicates something is amiss is the fact that Russia has mobilized troops belonging to the 12th Chief Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense. This directorate is responsible for the safe-keeping, technical maintenance, transportation, delivery, issuance, disposal, and care of Russia’s nuclear arsenal. The troops from this unit have some of the most modern vehicles in the Russian arsenal, all equipped with modern NBC warfare capabilities. Those vehicles have been loaded onto trains that are kept for the exclusive use of moving nuclear weapons and their security forces around the country, destination unknown, but have been seen moving east.

To me, these developments signal one of a couple of possibilities:

Scenario 1: Saber Rattling

The Russians are going to do nuclear drills and/or testing. This is the essence of nuclear saber rattling. You do this to remind other nations that you have nuclear weapons and can use them. The ultimate warning will be the detonation of an above ground warhead as both a test and a warning. If this happens, the US will instantly know this due to the NDDS satellite detection system. It would be a violation of the test ban treaty, but would be a way for Putin to show them he means what he says when he warns them to back off. This is the most powerful warning he could send, short of actually attacking someone with a nuke. If this were to happen, I doubt that our morons in this administration would get the correct message.

Scenario 2: Nothing to Lose

The second possibility is that we have backed Putin into a corner where he feels has is about to be tossed from power in the Russian way, meaning a bullet to the head. After all, we are shutting down the Russian economy. His own citizens are starting to riot and push back. All he needs to do in order to join the Romanovs in their retirement villa is maintain the status quo. Having little to lose, he is actually planning on using nukes. If that is what he is up to, and it is certainly possible, then there are a couple of ways that I see him doing this. He will either attack Ukraine under the assumption that the other NATO countries will do nothing (because our leaders are senile and/or cowardly pussies), or he will do it in conjunction with a decapitation strike. Kill the President and bet that whoever is left in charge won’t have the guts to do anything about it. Could you see Harris ordering a nuclear strike?

Scenario 3: All of this is an illusion

All of this mysterious activity is merely large scale military readiness drills. Putin is bluffing. The movement is just business as usual. While it is certainly true that this may just be a readiness exercise, it is dangerous to do drill involving the movement of strategic units when your opponent has announced that they are watching closely to see if you are preparing for the use of nuclear weapons.

The more signs that are becoming available, the more troubling it appears. The US is in a bad spot. The only way that a nuclear arsenal is a deterrent is if your adversaries think that you have the capability and the willingness to use them if the other side crosses the line. The Biden administration is constantly projecting. They have no intention of ever using nukes for any reason, and are projecting that upon Putin. They think he is bluffing because they themselves are bluffing.

I just don’t see Biden attacking the Black Sea fleet directly with US forces, as the administration has threatened. That is a huge risk. There is a US carrier in the Med that is begging to be an Order of Lenin for some adventurous Russian submarine Captain.

As for the Russians, they and the Chinese (as well as the rest of the world) have gotten the message of last year’s Afghanistan disaster loud and clear: the US is bereft of real leadership and intestinal fortitude. They may well be thinking that we don’t have the guts to do anything but posture and make speeches.

The Russians are threatening to use nukes. This is not a time to be coy or vague. What is needed is to say that the use of nuclear weapons in Europe will result in a nuclear response and make the Russians believe it. You have to make them KNOW that there is no coming out of a nuclear exchange as a winner. As soon as they begin thinking that this is the path to victory, the Russians will start to think that it is a viable option, and your deterrent has failed. Ronald Reagan won the cold war because the Soviets were terrified of him, they were terrified of out military and its capabilities, and they knew deep down that a conflict with the US would result in a national disaster. That knowledge kept the peace.

The world knows that this President isn’t capable of decisive action and may just be willing to roll the dice.

That is the scariest thing of all.

Election Tampering

Don’t think for a second that this isn’t being done to influence elections:

The CNN reporter is trying to paint DeSantis as the bad guy because Lee county didn’t order mandatory evacuations until 24 hours before Ian made landfall. DeSantis is replying that everyone up to that point was calling for a Tampa landfall. This is what the cone looked like on Monday night. Note that Ft Meyers isn’t in the cone, and the NWS was calling for a Tampa landfall. Note also that Ft Meyers is only under a Tropical Storm warning (in blue) and not a hurricane warning (in red) :

The second point here is this: Why do people wait for the government to tell them to get out? Can’t people think for themselves? If you believe that a deadly storm is headed for your barrier island, why wait for someone else to tell you what to do?

This is our supposedly neutral press playing games in order to help Joe Biden, because DeSantis has been owning his wrinkled, senile ass for months and everyone believes that DeSantis is a real threat to his election chances in 2024.

It Takes Time

There are tons of people criticizing Florida because everyone hasn’t been rescued and fed by now. I was a professional rescuer for more than 2 decades. I responded and served in dozens of disasters, including at least ten major hurricanes. The unit I was part of used to call themselves the “Masters of Disasters.”

I will use Katrina as an example. The hurricane hit at Waveland, MS on August 29. We were given alert orders to report to a staging area in Tallahassee on August 28. We arrived there at around 2200 and spent the night sleeping in a livestock pavilion. We got up at 0600 on the 29th and headed west. The convoy was over 3 miles long. We stopped to refuel just outside of Pensacola. There was a logjam at the I-10 tunnel in Mobile, AL and we had to use police to get through traffic outside of the tunnel. We finally arrived at the Stennis Space Center on the MS/LA border just before sunset.

We spent the most of the day of August 30 setting up a logistics point and command post at the Stennis Space Center. We had to clear the runways, build a tent city, and other logistical tasks. Late that afternoon, we headed out and wound up in Biloxi. We had dinner in the parking lot of a Wal-Mart just outside of town. My dad had died at the hospital there just three months earlier. I had spent two weeks in that town while he was in intensive care. The hotel that I had stayed in and the restaurants that I had eaten in were all gone. We moved on and wound up in Pascagoula on the night of the 30th.

On August 31, we began operations in the Pascagoula area. We took over all EMS services in the area. We had to. Most of the EMS and fire equipment in the area was damaged, and the people who worked there had their own problems to deal with. We began assisting the USAR in searching homes for victims. Our efforts were hampered by the bridges mostly being destroyed. We distributed food and medicine. We were giving inoculations for diphtheria.

Note that we were three days in before we even STARTED. That is the reason why they tell you to have 3 days’ food and water at a minimum. in the ensuing weeks, we searched cars submerged in mud filled swimming pools to see if they contained bodies. We had to largely stop operations at night because it was too dangerous in the pitch dark, and there isn’t enough fuel to operate generators all night.

All of that debris has to be searched for survivors and bodies. It’s tiring, dangerous, and technically demanding work. There is miles and miles of that debris, and before you can start, you have to clear a path through other debris in order to get there, clearing roads, and make sure that you aren’t running over any bodies in the debris.

The ground is saturated and muddy, and there is no infrastructure: no cell phones, roads are damaged or even missing, bridges are down, and all repeaters are down, cell towers are down, and satellite phones are congested and jammed. The units all have to bring fuel in from outside of the disaster area, and all units have to carry their own food and water in with them. It’s a difficult, logistically complicated operation as difficult as invading a foreign country. All of that takes time. It will be weeks before every single pile of rubble is even completely searched for bodies.

Note that they just cleared the main roads on Sanibel Island, and are now starting to clear side roads. Everything has to be brought in on barges because the island’s only bridge is out.

My job twice a day for a week of Katrina was hauling a fuel buffalo 30 miles to a refinery to get 500 gallons of diesel at a time so we could refuel my unit’s trucks. So every morning, I would get up at 0430, be on the road by 0500, and back before 0700 so I could refuel the vehicles in the morning. Then I would do the same every evening at 1700. Now imagine doing that every day, but with a barge trip at each end.

To make a long story short, it is difficult and time consuming. There is destruction and flooding from this storm from Fort Meyers all the way to St Augustine. One in ten houses in the state are without power. My old fire station is under water, and that station is 120 miles from Fort Meyers. This is a huge disaster area.

The responders of this state are doing an impressive job. Anyone who thinks things are going slowly have no idea what they are talking about.

Who’s the Racist Here?

Ron DeSantis said:

Don’t even think about looting. Don’t even think about taking advantage of people in this vulnerable situation. And so local law enforcement is involved in monitoring that. You can have people you know bringing boats into some of these islands and trying to ransack people’s homes. I can tell you, in the state of Florida, you never know what may be lurking behind somebody’s home, and I would not wanna chance that if I were you, given that we’re a Second Amendment state.

Joy Reid from that leftist show of cackling chickens then accused DeSantis of racism by claiming that he was exhorting people in Florida to kill black people.

Here is my question: DeSantis was talking about shooting looters. What makes Joy Reid think that all looters are black? Doesn’t that make HER the racist?

Damage

As is typical for storms, I am slowly finding damage to the house from the hurricane. Also as usual, it is electrical and electronic damage. While trying to find out why I am having so many Internet issues, I discovered that I lost the UPS that powers my routers and modem. That isn’t why I am having problems, but it is something that has to be replaced.

I also lost my intelligent irrigation system. The one that stings is the irrigation system. Its two year warranty expired 16 days ago.