Crime and families

Walter Williams recently penned an article titled “Criminologists Mislead Us.” In the article, he points to a study showing that criminologists mislead us because liberal criminologists outnumber their conservative counterparts 30 to 1. Of course they do. Anyone who looks at the facts and attempts to have a conversation about the actual causes of crime is labelled as a racist and pushed out of a job.

The facts are obvious to anyone who chooses to look at them without bias:
– Black males are the victim of homicide 10 to 20 times more often than any other demographic
– Black males commit homicides 15 to 35 times more often than any other demographic
– Black males commit armed robbery 10 to 15 times more often whites
– Most crime is committed by perpetrators who are the same race as their victims
– More than 90% of homicides where the victim is black, so is their killer

The study goes on to say:

Despite the evidence that higher incarceration reduces crime rates, many criminologists argue that “mass incarceration” actually “took minority men out of their neighborhoods, stripped them of voting rights, destabilized families, and sapped already-paltry economic resources from struggling communities.”
Such claims could seem plausible only if one believes—contrary to evidence and common sense—that career criminals contribute positively to their neighborhoods, enjoy stable and functional families, vote, and work. What they did, in reality, was to prey on their neighbors.

After reading this, I can only conclude that the problem lies in the black neighborhoods. Something that many people already know, even if they won’t admit it, for fear of being labeled as a racist. This is why housing values are lower in black neighborhoods.

It would be easy to take a racist slant, but I don’t think that blacks are inherently more violent or prone to crime. Instead, I believe that the root cause lies in the disintegration of the black family. In black communities, we now have more than two out of every three black children growing up in single parent households. Compare that to white children, where three out of four grow up having two parents in the family. In 1960, that was where black families were: 22% of black children were in single parent homes. 

In other words, children growing up raising themselves are growing up without the guidance and direction that having a parent around provides. Children model the behavior of their role models. This is how we learn to comply with societal norms. When they are young, those role models are their parents. As they approach the teenage years, those role models become their peers. When there are no parents around, the young children model the behavior of the only others that they see: older kids.

So the black community has as its role model the leaders of street gangs. Criminals. This has been the case for nearly four generations. Solve the increasing problems of dads leaving as soon as a woman gets pregnant, and you solve the problems of our society. Of course this will never happen, because the people who could solve it are instead selling away the American nuclear family in exchange for votes. As long as we continue to subsidize single mothers, we will get more of them, and this in turn will erode our society even more.

The wheels are slowly coming off.

Resume

The eye of Hurricane Dorian passed to our east at about 3:30 this morning. The barometric pressure bottomed out at 1003 millibars, and the highest wind we got was 22 mph. The total rain so far was about an inch and a half. We get worse from afternoon thunderstorms.

I never did finish the 24 checklist. Tomorrow, I will put all of the hurricane supplies away. Until next time.

Cost of education

I am sitting here bored while waiting for the arrival of Hurricane Dorian. I still have the 12 hour checklist portion of my preparations to do, but they are on hold because the nearest tropical storm level winds are 135 miles from here and the storm is still stationary.

With that in mind, I am sitting here reading the proposed budget for my school district. The budget calls for $548 million in expenditures. There are a total of 43,000 students in the district. This works out to a cost of $12,700 for each student. Seems pretty high to me.

24 hour checklist complete

Dorian has been a huge ball of suck and fail for the National Hurricane service. This storm has been incorrectly handled for the past week. Tuesday the forecast was that Dorian would be a strong tropical storm landfalling near Fort Lauderdale. By Friday, it was to have max winds of 130 mph. Saturday morning they were forecasting winds of 150, and then 155. The actual winds are over 185 mph. 
The forecast was for it to hit the Dominican Republic. It missed by over 200 miles and actually hit the US Virgin Islands. 


Even the NHC admits that they have an average error of 40 miles at 24 hours, and 60 miles 48 hours out. They are currently forecasting the Dorian to be less than 60 miles offshore with 140 mile per hour winds just 48 hours from now.


The forecast they were making 48 hours ago had the center of the storm being 45 miles more to the east than it actually is. A similar error in today’s forecast would put the storm ashore in Florida 48 hours from now. 


Similarly, the forecast 48 hours ago predicted the storm would have winds of 130 miles per hour at 1100 EDT this morning. Winds were actually 180 mph. 


With that in mind, I decided to move on and complete the checklist as if the storm were only 24 hours away. 




Power: 
Portable 10kw generator and 20 gallons of fuel
Batteries charged
Propane and propane stove


Communications checked:
Cell phones
Hardwire Internet
Radios checked and programmed with local authorities frequencies:
HF and VHF HAM radio in house
VHF/UHF System Fusion Mobile in BOV
VHF/UHF portables


Food: 
We have a week’s worth in the pantry before we even have to get into freeze dried food.


Water:
20 gals potable
Full bathtub for toilet flushing


Security:
check. ‘Nuf said.


We also have cards and board games to keep us busy when power goes out.

The 12 hour checklist is next, but I won’t do that until probably Monday night, if at all.


1 Shut down the NAS that I am using as the household file server, take out the mirrored hard drives, and place one in the gun safe, the other in the BOV.
2 Place BOB in BOV.
3 Ensure safe room has flashlights, chem lights, and other items.
4 Take pictures of the inside and outside of the house, to use as “before” pictures, in the event an insurance claim needs to be made.
5. All vehicles in garage