The 2020 election had some odd forewarning. Just two weeks before the election, my wife and I took a road trip to the Blue Ridge Parkway. On the way, we saw tons of Trump signs and stickers, almost no Biden ones. I mean, it was running ten to one. I thought to myself that there was no way that Biden was running a good enough campaign to win. We all know what happened next.
The 2022 midterm elections will tell the tale. This is how we know whether or not the 2020 election’s shenanigans will be a permanent feature. Historically, the sitting President’s political party does poorly if the economy is also not well.
The President’s popularity has much to do with this. According to Gallup’s polling history, presidents with an approval rating below 50 percent have seen their party lose 37 House seats on average while presidents with a 50 percent or higher approval rating have lost 14 on average. Only two U.S. presidents have seen their party gain House seats according to the American Presidency Project – Bill Clinton in 1998 and George W. Bush in 2002.
Meanwhile, Biden has an approval rating that is somewhere in the low 40 percent range. Congress has an approval rating of 21 percent.
Now here I am, looking at all of this with only ten months to the mid term elections. Note that the Democrats don’t really look all that concerned. Sure, they are SAYING they are worried, but if they were really concerned, they would be doing their usual preelection rush to look centrist. They aren’t trying to change course, aren’t really DOING anything about the situation. The actions continue to show that they are still following the hard leftward course. It’s like they know the fix is in and have nothing to worry about. I really home I am wrong with this one.
