More homicides?

In response to my post about the increase homicide rates nationwide, a police officer from Houston sent me an email confirming that the same is happening in his city. Since he sent me an email rather that post a public comment, I will assume that he wants his identifying information held confidential. Here is what he had to say:

while we are nowhere near the 600-900 murders per year when I was a rookie in the early 1990’s, we had been cruising for years with 230-250 per year. Which ain’t bad for 2+million population and a police department with less than 5000 total classified officers.

Buuuuut, beginning in 2020 things have certainly changed: at this point in 2019 we had 249 murders enroute to around 300 total This time in 2020 it was 360 and ended up at 405, first time over 400 in years. This year, 2021, we are at 448 with a month to go. Probably gonna top 500.

Combination of low morale, administration that disincentivizes proactive policing, and officers not wanting to get screwed over, PLUS our local Soros-funded DA, Kim Ogg, putting violent offenders on the street with low/no bail to continually re-offend. Perfect shitstorm.

Things are looking worse all over. Once the police have collapsed nationwide, they will be replaced with cops who are more, shall we say, politically reliable. Maybe a national police force, maybe not. No matter what, they will be more amenable to the left.

Question

How is it that when the left got a Federal judge in a liberal area like California to rule that a Trump executive order couldn’t be enforced, the injunction was effective nationwide, but when a judge rules against a Biden vaccine mandate, that injunction is only effective for the circuit where the judge is located?

It isn’t taken if the thief doesn’t keep it

That is what the 9th circuit said today when it ruled that California’s ban on standard capacity magazines was not an unconstitutional taking.

Accordingly, the ban on legal possession of large-capacity magazines reasonably supported California’s effort to reduce the devastating damage wrought by mass shootings

and as far as the ban being a violation of the takings clause:

the government acquires nothing by virtue of the limitation on the capacity of magazines.

Therefore, they didn’t take anything. The Australians were disarmed in 1996. By 2020, nearly all guns were confiscated. This was the result:

Two months later, and the military began taking Australians off to the camps:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGyc22ar2X0

The courts are not going to come to our rescue. There will soon be only two choices: Fight, or be taken away to the camps for our own safety.

Howitzer Deployment

The Biden administration deployed 30 self propelled howitzers to the Ukraine, near the border with Belarus and Russia. The report is that the move also includes several dozen tanks, armored vehicles, and several thousand NATO troops. Sounds to me like an Armored Brigade, which would have 80 M1 tanks, and a few batteries of self propelled artillery.

A similar deployment was made into Poland 4 years ago. Funny how there are mentions of this from several European news sites, but none from the US. Does that mean it is a false report, or is the US media simply ignoring news in Europe?

Social Media

When I was still teaching, I saw a distinct shift in the attitudes of my students from years past. When you would ask tenth grade students what they wanted to do for a career, you would get sensible answers mixed in with answers about being professional athletes. In 2018, something interesting began to happen: students began telling me that they wanted to be social media influencers and stars.

When I first heard about Tik Tok, it was because one of my students became famous on the platform. She had over a million followers and was becoming a quasi-celebrity. We would host other schools for sporting events, and she was the captain of the cheerleading squad. Students of other schools would approach her and ask for her autograph. This made every other student of the school want to try out Social Media as a career.

I once had an in depth conversation with her after watching one of her YouTube videos. The videos are of nothing but teenage mindlessness. She told me that she was making about $5,000 a month of of those videos. I told her that the only reason that she was making so much is that she was young, pretty, and female. My advice to her was that she invest the money for the inevitable day when she was no longer young and someone younger and prettier came along, “After all,” I said, “do you see 17 year olds still watching you when you are 30?” She ignored that advice, and was busy spending the money on designer purses and clothes. She and her mother (who was helping her spend the money) were trying to get her a movie or TV role in California.

That was three years ago, and I just looked at her page: At 19 years old, that young lady has over 600 million views and 5 million regular followers, JUST ON HER TIK TOK page. Her Instagram page has another 1 million, her YouTube has over 200,000. So a total of 6.2 million people tune in to watch her videos. To put that in perspective, ABC’s World News Tonight has only 7.3 million regular viewers. A 19 year old making videos about putting on make up, how to do your hair, and the latest Social Media dance moves is scoring as many eyeballs as a nationwide television news show.

The impact that social media is having cannot be overstated. Influencer marketing is a $14 billion industry. Businesses report that they receive $5.78 return on investment for every dollar spent on influencer marketing. Teens are largely turning away from conventional media and turning to Social Media.

We need to pay attention to what is happening on Social Media. Teens are our future, and their future is being sent out on Social Media.

Coincidence?

A new COVID variant appears on the scene, and in a strange coincidence, the most effective treatment is found to be ineffective, while the Moderna vaccine is touted as being MORE effective on this variant.

So Moderna stock goes up by 12%, while Regeneron goes down by 3%.

Spam

The amount of Spam comments to this site is getting ridiculous. The amount of Ivermectin, Cialis, and Porn advertisements disguised as comments are over the top. There are days when I get dozens of spam comments.

I have already tried putting filters in, and they have largely been successful, but a few legitimate comments are getting caught in the filters like dolphins in a tuna can. This requires that I peruse the filters to authorize those legitimate comments. It’s getting time intensive.

Since I really don’t want to force people to set up accounts in order to comment, I think I will have to implement an IP ban that will hopefully filter some of it out. So at least for now, anyone with an IP of 5.188.210.XXX is being banned from posting comments on this page.

Counter Productive

Thanks to a record increase in homicides that began with last summer’s rioting peaceful protests, the US has seen the highest increase in homicide rates in modern history. Cities like Portland, Indianapolis, Louisville, and Philadelphia have seen record numbers of homicides.

The rate of homicides is up by 30% from 2019 levels as the US homicide rate increased from about six per 100,000 in 2019 to 7.8 per 100,000 in 2020. The FBI’s Uniform Crime Report recorded 21,570 murders total in 2020, compared with 16,425 murders in 2019.

Rifles and shotguns combined accounted for the same number of homicides as did fists and feet:

Even with all of that, the U.S. murder rate in 2020 was 42% lower than the suicide rate (13.5 deaths per 100,000 people) and 71% below the mortality rate for drug overdose (27.1 deaths per 100,000 people, as of the third quarter of 2020).

All of this is actually causing a backlash to the BLM/Antifa narrative. In a Pew Center survey conducted in September, 47% of U.S. adults said they favored an increase in funding for police in their area, up from 31% in June of 2020. Support for reducing local police funding declined from 25% to 15%.

Remember that one of the things an insurgency must do, according to the CIA insurgency manual, is destroy the people’s trust in the government. This causes the people to cry out for protection from anyone who promises to provide it. Then the communists step in and fix everything.

‘Everybody Takes a Beating Sometimes’

The Rittenhouse trial has exposed a central belief of the antigun left. There is this article, from a licensed New York attorney who specializes in International Human Rights and Islamic studies. The central belief of her opinion?

Kyle Rittenhouse had viable alternatives to patrolling the streets of Kenosha with an AR-15-style rifle… He chose otherwise, and that choice should have had legal consequences.

Then there are several student organizations at Arizona State University, including: the Arizona State University Students for Socialism, Students for Justice in Palestine, Multicultural Solidarity Coalition, and MECHA de ASU. All of them are communist organizations, most are race based.

One of these groups- La MEChA, even has this in their constitution:

Chicano and Chicana students of Aztlan must take upon themselves the responsibilities to promote Chicanismo within the community, politicizing our Raza with an emphasis on indigenous consciousness to continue the struggle for the self-determination of the Chicano people for the purpose of liberating Aztlan.

This MEChA group has a chapter on many College Campuses in this country. For example, they posted on the University of Texas webpage in 2007 (since taken down):

In the spirit of a new people that is conscious not only of its proud historical heritage but also of the brutal “gringo” invasion of our territories

I wrote about them in 2007, back when they were advocating for an armed rebellion. It appears as though they don’t mind guns, as long as the guns are in their hands, not the hands of their would-be victims.

The groups are demanding that Rittenhouse be expelled from Arizona State. In their statement, they had this to say:

Rittenhouse took the lives of innocent people with the intent to do so—by strapping an assault rifle to himself in a crowd of unarmed citizens. That is the textbook definition of intention. 

Nevermind that the citizens he shot were armed with a length of chain, a skateboard being used as a club, a handgun, incendiaries, and other weapons. No, having a firearm for self defense is, to the commies, evidence that you intend to commit murder.

The Rittenhouse case is being used as an indictment of armed self defense as a concept. They hordes of violent Antifa and BLM warriors need unarmed victims for their tactics to work. If their intended victims are armed and begin to actively resist, their movement falls apart.

There is a reason why those “protests” have only been successful in Democrat run, gun restricted states. When your victims have the means of resistance, it’s a bit harder for them to become victims in the first place.

Remember what the ADA said in the Rittenhouse case:

Because ‘Everybody Takes a Beating Sometimes’

Rent Inflation

As many of you will recall, a rental property that I own is coming up for renewal. Right now, I am renting that two bedroom, 1900 square foot house for $1700 a month. That price includes a washer/dryer, pest control, and lawn maintenance. Two years ago, when we began renting to this couple, that rent level put us near the upper end of the area rental market. We didn’t raise the rent last year when they renewed.

A month and a half ago, we looked and decided that rent was probably going to be increased by $100 to $1800 a month when the time came. That was a month and a half ago. The time has come, and things are a bit more complicated than they were in October.

Zillow has a useful tool that landlords can use to compare their rental property to other rental properties in the area. Looking at the recent rental listings, there are only a handful of rentals available in the area. Houses are renting as quickly as they are being listed, and that is driving up prices. The ones that have recently been listed indicate that our home should be renting for somewhere between $2,200 and $2,700 a month. This means that, in the last 5 months or so, rents have increased by about 25% in my area!

If this keeps up, by the time of lease renewal on Feb 1, my house will have a rental value of $2400 to $2900 a month. In a year, who knows?

My wife says that she doesn’t want “to screw them” by renting the place for market, and wants to stick with no more than $1850 a month. She also says that too large of a rent increase will cause them to move out, and then the home will require cleaning, painting, etc. on top of being empty for a month or two. I must admit that it would make be feel guilty to raise rent by $400 or more dollars month. On the other hand, if rents keep increasing like this, every dollar that we don’t increase the rent now is two dollars of an increase that we will have to make next year.

Not matter what, inflation is hitting the rental markets in a big way. Rents are increasing at an astonishing 40 percent per year, at least in this area. Real estate is skyrocketing. We bought this rental two years ago, with the idea that we wanted a passive income stream. We put $150,000 down on the purchase price of $250,000. Every dime that we have collected in rent over and above expenses has gone to paying down the mortgage. We now owe $45,000 on that house. We were just contacted by a real estate agent and were offered $350,000 on that house. A $155,000 profit in 24 months corresponds to more than a 50% annual ROI. That house is increasing in value by $4400 a month. We are increasing equity at double the amount we are collecting in rent. That is going to be reflected in our property tax bill next year, and needs to be factored into the rent.

The only reason we don’t boot the tenants out and sell is that we don’t want to covert income producing real estate into dollars that are decreasing in value every day, thanks to President Biden and his insane economic policies.

Setting rent is tricky. If you rent at too low of a price point, not only are you leaving money on the table, but you are running the risk of getting tenants who will trash the place. (Sorry, but people without money don’t value your rental as much. They are more likely to destroy the place.) Too high, and the place sits empty for an extra month or two, and that costs you more than simply renting for a bit less.

The kitchen countertops need to be replaced in that unit, and that will cost around $3000. The renewal letter goes out this week, so we need to make the call. I think that we are going to offer the renewal at $1850, unless they want the countertops replaced. If that happens, I will have to raise rent to $2000. If they don’t want to renew and instead move out, then I will relist the place for rent at $2300. I am sure that I will get it.