I don’t like Alex Jones, but Matt Bracken does a good job in this video while describing the disaster that is happening in the Bahamas. The footage is unbelievable. There have to be hundreds, perhaps thousands of deaths.
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Much ado about nothing
So the press is in an uproar about a Trump tweet, and the left will not let it go. The President sent out a tweet claiming that Alabama was one of the states that would be affected by Hurricane Dorian. The press is roasting him for being wrong. But was he?
Here is a link to the NHC forecast from 0300 UTC on August 28. This forecast is a list of the odds of selected cities seeing Tropical Storm force winds withing the following 5 days. Note the line which says:
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
Meaning that Montgomery Alabama had a 4 percent chance of seeing 34 knot winds. Now you might say that 4 percent is not very high, but note that Myrtle Beach was seen in the same forecast as only a 5 percent chance of seeing tropical storm force winds.
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
From the same advisory, the graphic of projected windfield looked like this:
I don’t think that it is unreasonable for anyone to think that Alabama is in danger here. CNN, who is leading the charge on this ridiculousness, has no room to talk. CNN doesn’t even know where Alabama is:
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How does he get $750K?
When Florida passed shall issue concealed carry, the left predicted that there would be shootouts over parking spots. It seems like we have finally had a couple. One resulted in the shooter being convicted of manslaughter and sent to prison for life. The second was a shooting between a knife carrying convicted felon, and his gun wielding felon next door neighbor.
What strikes me as odd is that the shooter posted a $750,000 bond. How does a short term renter in a drug addled neighborhood come up with $75,000 in cash, plus another $675,000 in collateral to qualify for a bail bond?
My initial thought is drug dealer.
The winning quote?
“That man should have just minded his business. Once we told him that was not our car he should’ve just minded his business, go find the owner of the car and go yell at them,” said Powers’ girlfriend, Mersades Katz.
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NYT: The US owes Bahamas reparations for hurricane
An editorial in the New York Times claims that the hurricane hitting the Bahamas is the fault of the United States for failing to pass AOC’s “Green New Deal.”
As bad as that is, the quote I hated most was found in the comments:
The word “reparations” has come up in the USA when addressing crimes of the past, and we have hardly reached consensus on that hot topic.
Dr. E. M. James’s island nation, which, as the author accurately puts, “has a tiny carbon footprint but carries the burden of being ground zero for our climate crisis.”
Time for present day reparations paid in full for these islanders from the CO2 giants with carbon footprints without boundaries.
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Antisemitism increasing
A man is arrested for threatening to kill Jews. The report is found on Orlando’s CBS affiliate. What I found odd what that the story is found on other news sites, and the CBS version leaves out many details.
From the CBS story:
The comments included anti-Semitic remarks and threats to “murder as many people as I can,” according to the Sheriff’s Office.
Arong also appeared to identify as an incel, which refers to a misogynist group of men who identify themselves as “involuntarily celibate.”
Also note that the only picture in the article is of white hands over a laptop computer. This is important because many in Central Florida accuse WKMG, the CBS affiliate. of media bias.
Note the differences in the article, as found at news-journal.
“I hate jews because I am an inbred LOSER.”
“I don’t want Red Flag laws passed because the FBI might raid my residence and confiscate the weapons I will use to kill other Americans. Thank you”
“I hate myself. I am uglier than the El Paso shooter, and girls don’t like me, so I will murder as many people as I can. Thank you”
While not factually incorrect, the details change the story. Here also is a picture of the suspect:
Bias? You decide.
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Attempted terror attack?
Abdul-Majeed Marouf Ahmed Alani, a mechanic for American Airlines, was arrested for trying to sabotage an American airlines jet shortly before it was set to take off from Miami International Airport for the Bahamas.
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Underestimating the danger
The left is trying to pick a fight where they have underestimated their foe.
According to the US census, Florida has a population of 20.6 million. 20 percent of that population is under the age of 18, meaning that there are 16.45 million adults living in Florida. There are 7.4 million households in the state of Florida, equaling an average of 2.1 adults in each household.
According to the Department of Agriculture (the state agency that issues CWPs), there are over 2.1 million non-law enforcement citizens in Florida who can legally carry a firearm. (pdf warning) That means that, on average, 27 percent of Florida households contain at least one permitted firearm carrier.
Just in the past 20 years, over 42 million rifles have been manufactured. Between 20 and 50% of all rifles manufactured in the USA are AR-15 pattern rifles, including all of the variants like the AR-10, and all of the miscellaneous caliber variations. This means that there are somewhere around 20 million or more weapons that would be subject to any sort of so-called “assault weapons” ban.
There have been more than 320 million NICS checks done since the system was set up 20 years ago. This means that there are more than 650 million firearms in this country. Each year, Americans are busy buying 27 million firearms and 10-12 BILLION rounds of ammunition a year. To put that in perspective, that is more ammunition than was used by the entire US military during each year of World War 2, when the average was just over 10 billion rounds a year.
What all of this means is that, outside of the major antigun metroplexes of NYC, Boston, Baltimore, San Francisco, and LA, more than half of households have at least one firearm, and more than a quarter of them own at least one “assault weapon.”
If even one percent of the gun owning public decides to respond in kind to being called an enemy of the people, there will be somewhere around 1.5 million people who are armed, pissed off, and know how to shoot. They will not be lined up in neat ranks out in a field somewhere, just waiting for you to nuke them.
The US police cannot even begin to control the gang problem in our inner cities, and the membership of those gangs is only around 800,000 or so. This is a fight that cannot be won, but they don’t care, because liberals are not the ones who will be getting killed. Or so they think. That is dangerous thinking indeed. The people of each who are the least stable will be the ones who decide when the violence begins and how far it goes.
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Secure your supplies
Reports from the Bahamas that people are willing to kill each other to survive. In this situation, possessing supplies makes you a target.
Civilized society is a thin veneer. Humans are just like any other animal on Earth: when supplies are in short supply and survival is on the line, even normally well behaved people will discard societal norms to survive.
This is why I always increase my security posture during a disaster.
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Profits are evil
Social media has been abuzz with the following meme:
I have been seeing this more and more. One person wrote in to CBS affiliate WPLG and had this to say:
“Can’t someone order the cruise lines that make billions of dollars on cruises to the Bahamas?”
First, the cruise ships are not registered in the USA. So who exactly is going to issue these orders? Yes, many of them are registered in the Bahamas, but do you have any idea what nationalizing cruise ships would do to the Bahamian tourism industry?
Let me tell you why this is misguided and wrong:
The cruise lines aren’t profiting from the Bahamas. The Bahamas and the cruise lines are profiting from cruise ship passengers. The islanders have been richly rewarded for this partnership: cruise ships and their passengers bring $250 million a year to the Bahamas, a figure that represents nearly 5 percent of the Bahamas GNP. Yet even that number pales in comparison to the airlines, whose passengers bring another $1.1 billion to the island nation. In all, tourism represents 40% of the GNP of the Bahamas. The cruise lines don’t owe the islands anything. The entire economy of the Bahamas is built on tourism.
I think it will turn out that the loss of tourism that will follow this storm will be the worst part of the disaster. The funding that will be needed for the people to rebuild and resume their lives just isn’t going to be there. If you truly want the cruise lines to help, instead of free food and lodging, book a cruise to (largely untouched) Nassau, and then spend gobs of money there.
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Hey Walmart
Just so you know, I celebration of your recent decision to stop selling anything gun related unless it is for hunting:
I just bought several hundred dollars of defense ammo from my local gun store.
Then I went to the range and got rid of some target ammo.